Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 6.883027 7.603682 8.404942 9.369227 10.508180 11.823344 13.475827
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 5.706418 6.639481 7.764030 9.246900 11.195091 13.735737 17.425068
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 4.975084 5.975568 7.243957 9.020232 11.533257 15.120221 20.972609
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 4.522754 5.566854 6.943994 8.968847 12.018180 16.733980 25.330555
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 4.181189 5.249023 6.703790 8.932176 12.475461 18.370287 30.340698
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 3.980511 5.092728 6.656381 9.151343 13.346919 20.898153 38.267396
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 3.671885 4.752985 6.302887 8.840752 13.267045 21.669570 42.817471
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 3.407414 4.453571 5.978086 8.529804 13.123026 22.266649 47.309336
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 3.207540 4.232315 5.749931 8.346470 13.173115 23.271730 53.635889
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 3.061755 4.079883 5.613207 8.298211 13.465370 24.891434 63.249065
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.046865 4.121498 5.782356 8.798482 14.936130 29.831207 91.096910
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.974799 4.069094 5.793412 9.012937 15.858142 33.795437 122.846122
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.824530 3.893900 5.602178 8.855913 15.999926 35.848796 151.371277
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.691461 3.739697 5.437509 8.737749 16.230489 38.404520 194.456021
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.556239 3.573533 5.239088 8.528995 16.201729 40.130137 240.858588
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.458922 3.462755 5.127795 8.481699 16.569053 43.547835 335.898977
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.372039 3.363722 5.029178 8.447953 16.967064 47.416370 496.875006
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.325763 3.328847 5.041766 8.649550 18.060032 55.263549 1037.830872
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.216224 3.181930 4.840290 8.363800 17.700863 55.978222 1376.903952
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 2.114154 3.043266 4.646285 8.077318 17.291997 56.272012 1816.258554
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 2.034401 2.939103 4.510305 7.908217 17.209592 58.394280 3062.985616
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.975771 2.868446 4.432660 7.863681 17.507139 63.089688 9285.575842
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 1.981796 2.909177 4.567408 8.324879 19.564574 82.199755 NaN